Backtest Overfitting Audit
Probability of Backtest Overfitting (CSCV), Deflated Sharpe Ratio, and purged CV splits.
Installation
Ajoutez ceci à la configuration MCP de votre client (Claude Desktop : claude_desktop_config.json ; Cursor : .cursor/mcp.json ; VS Code et les autres utilisent la même forme « mcpServers »).
claude mcp add --transport http backtest-overfitting-audit 'https://overfitting-audit-mcp.mcpize.run/mcp'
{
"mcpServers": {
"backtest-overfitting-audit": {
"type": "http",
"url": "https://overfitting-audit-mcp.mcpize.run/mcp"
}
}
}
Documentation
Tirée du README du projet sur GitHub, actualisée chaque semaine. Les liens ouvrent GitHub.
overfitting-audit-mcp
An MCP server that answers "is this edge real, or a testing-hundreds-of-variants artifact?" — implementing the Probability of Backtest Overfitting (CSCV method), Deflated Sharpe Ratio, Minimum Backtest Length, and purged/embargoed cross-validation splits.
The problem this solves
Testing enough parameter combinations against the same historical data will eventually produce a great-looking backtest by chance alone. Standard backtest metrics (Sharpe, win rate, profit factor) don't distinguish a genuine edge from the best-looking result out of hundreds of near-identical variants. This audits for that specific failure mode directly, rather than trusting a single strong-looking curve.
Tools
probability_of_backtest_overfitting
Combinatorially Symmetric Cross-Validation (CSCV) method — estimates the probability that a strategy's in-sample performance rank won't hold out-of-sample.
deflated_sharpe_ratio
Adjusts a Sharpe ratio for the number of trials run and the non-normality of returns, so it can't be inflated just by testing more variants.
minimum_backtest_length
The minimum number of independent trials/observations needed before a given Sharpe ratio is statistically meaningful at all.
purged_cv_split
Generates purged and embargoed cross-validation splits for time-series backtests, preventing the lookahead leakage that ordinary k-fold CV introduces on financial data.
Use it
Hosted (recommended): MCPize — free tier, paid Pro tier for higher limits.
Self-host:
npm install
node server.js
Part of the AlgoForge suite
Prop-firm and quant-validation tools for algo traders: prop-rules-mcp, trade-journal-mcp, payout-calc-mcp, econ-calendar-mcp, montecarlo-validator-mcp, walkforward-validator-mcp, pinescript-audit-mcp, backtest-cost-sensitivity-mcp, pinescript-mcp.
License
MIT
Questions fréquentes
Qu'est-ce que Backtest Overfitting Audit ?
Probability of Backtest Overfitting (CSCV), Deflated Sharpe Ratio, and purged CV splits.
Comment installer Backtest Overfitting Audit ?
Il fonctionne comme serveur distant. Dans Claude Code : claude mcp add --transport http backtest-overfitting-audit 'https://overfitting-audit-mcp.mcpize.run/mcp'. Pour les autres clients, collez la configuration JSON de cette page dans leurs réglages MCP.
Faut-il une clé API pour Backtest Overfitting Audit ?
Son entrée au registre n'indique aucune clé ni secret obligatoire. Certaines fonctions peuvent tout de même demander un compte auprès du service auquel il se connecte.
Backtest Overfitting Audit est-il open source ?
Oui. Son code est sur GitHub sous licence MIT.
Qui maintient Backtest Overfitting Audit ?
Il est publié par tylerscomic-lab. AI.tn le référence sans le maintenir ni le recommander.
Issu du registre MCP officiel. Être listé n'est pas une recommandation : vérifiez le code et les permissions d'un serveur avant de lui donner accès à vos données.